#24
Connecticut Sun vs Chicago Sky • Game Recap

Aaliyah Edwards Career-High Stat Explorer

26 PTS (Career-High)
10 REB
11-16 FGM (68.8%)
W Home
VIEW:
Made FG (2 PTS)
Missed FG
Rebound
68.8%
Field Goal %
20
Points in Paint
71.7%
True Shooting %
10
Rebounds (4 OREB)

Eleven of sixteen: the shot math behind Aaliyah Edwards' career-high night

A one-minute painted explainer of the explorer's shot chart and its interior-scoring counterfactual, followed by how the shooting stats are defined and where to check the box score.

Read the narration

Aaliyah Edwards' career-high night, as this explorer tells it: twenty-six points and ten rebounds for Connecticut against Chicago, on eleven of sixteen shooting. The court plots all sixteen shots. Eleven makes, five misses, every one a two. Eleven over sixteen gives a field goal percentage of sixty-eight point eight. Thirteen of those attempts came in the paint, and ten went in. That's twenty points inside, plus four free throws for twenty-six. With no threes, effective field goal percentage equals plain field goal percentage. True shooting, at seventy-one point seven, also folds in her trips to the line. The counterfactual sliders rebuild her night. Keep sixteen shots and four free throws, set the paint share and conversion rate, and assume one in three outside shots fall. At a fifty percent paint share, the model gives twenty-two points. Slide it toward the rim and watch the points climb. The box score is the page's own, so check it against the official league box score.

How the explorer's numbers are built

Field goal % from the shot list

The tool's sixteen plotted shots contain 11 makes, all two-pointers, so FG% = 11 ÷ 16 = 68.8%. Filtering to the paint gives 10 of 13 and 20 points in the paint.

Effective FG% and true shooting

Effective FG% = (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM) ÷ FGA, so with no three-pointers it equals plain FG%. True shooting % = points ÷ (2 × (FGA + 0.44 × FTA)) and credits free throws; the page shows 71.7% as a fixed figure.

The counterfactual's assumptions

The sliders keep 16 attempts and 4 made free throws fixed, convert paint attempts at the chosen rate, and make one-third of the remaining outside attempts. Default settings (81% share, 77% conversion) reproduce 26 points; 50% share gives 22; 100% share gives 28.

Shot locations are illustrative

The plotted coordinates and play descriptions are the page's reconstruction, and its quarter-by-quarter panel doesn't match the plotted shots (the plotted makes give 6, 6, 6 and 4 field-goal points by quarter). Use official play-by-play for the real sequence.

Try it in the tool

  1. Click Paint Only and confirm the Field Goal % and Points in Paint tiles change to the interior shots.
  2. Drag Paint Shot Share down to 50% and watch Simulated Points fall to 22.0 and Simulated eFG% to 56.3%.
  3. Push Paint Shot Share to 100% with Interior Conversion Rate at 77% to see 28.0 points, then press Reset Explorer.

Sources and further reading

  1. Aaliyah Edwards · Wikipedia

    Career background for the player the explorer covers.

  2. WNBA official site · WNBA

    Official box scores and play-by-play to confirm the game's figures.

  3. Effective field goal percentage · Wikipedia

    Definition of eFG% used by the counterfactual panel.

  4. True shooting percentage · Wikipedia

    Definition and the 0.44 free-throw factor.

Game figures come from the explorer's own box score and reconstructed shot chart; check them against the official WNBA box score before citing them.

Aaliyah Edwards Shot Chart & Counterfactual Scoring Model

How does shot location filtering affect field goal efficiency metrics, and how does the counterfactual scoring model calculate projected points?

This interactive explorer visualizes 16 shot attempts and 10 rebounds mapped onto a regulation half-court SVG diagram. Selecting different view buttons isolates specific events—such as makes, misses, paint attempts, or rebounds—while dynamically updating field goal percentage and paint scoring totals. Alongside the spatial tracking, a counterfactual simulator computes hypothetical point totals by scaling interior attempts and applying an assumed conversion rate while holding perimeter production and four made free throws constant.

The spatial coordinates, quarter breakdowns, and Connecticut Sun jersey branding are hardcoded demonstration fixtures rather than live official tracking feeds from Sportradar or Second Spectrum. In addition, the counterfactual scoring simulator assumes a fixed 33% conversion rate across all unmodeled perimeter attempts regardless of defender proximity or shot type.

Try a worked example

Click the 'Paint Only' button in the VIEW filter group. The court updates to display 13 shot attempts located within the paint along with 10 rebound markers. Below the court, 'Field Goal %' recalculates from 68.8% (all 16 shots) to 76.9% (10 made interior shots out of 13 paint attempts), while 'Points in Paint' remains at 20.

Court Dimensions & Spatial Event Mapping

The visualization renders a regulation half-court layout with a 50-foot sideline-to-sideline boundary, a 16-foot-wide paint lane, a 4-foot restricted area arc, and a 22-foot 1.75-inch three-point arc as defined by official league court specifications. Official Rules of the WNBA

In the underlying data array, each shot contains x and y coordinates on this 50-by-47 grid, a boolean paint flag, and a point value. When users switch filters, D3 removes existing SVG nodes and rebinds only the matching subset, updating the live metrics strip.

Counterfactual Scoring Computation

The counterfactual model divides the 16 total field goal attempts according to the Paint Shot Share slider: Paint Attempts = round((Paint Share / 100) * 16). Perimeter attempts constitute the remaining attempts.

Simulated points are derived as (Paint Makes * 2) + (Perimeter Makes * 2) + 4, where interior makes equal round((Conversion Rate / 100) * Paint Attempts), perimeter makes are fixed at round(0.33 * Perimeter Attempts), and the 4 represents four made free throws.

Sources and further reading
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