Abundance Scenario Matrix Explorer | p(abundance) vs p(doom)

Model Parameters

Live Computation

Energy Cost Scaling (Relative to Fossil/Base) 0.15

Lower represents abundant solar, fusion, and high-density battery scaling.

Robotics Autonomy Index 0.88

General-purpose humanoid and automated manufacturing efficiency.

Material Recycling & Extraction Rate 0.92

Circular closed-loop refining, element reclamation, and feedstock yield.

Computed Abundance Index

94.2

Computed Risk Index (p(doom))

12.5

Trajectory Classification

High Abundance Trajectory

✓ Exported scenario snapshot to JSON

p(abundance) vs. p(doom) Trajectory Matrix

Realtime Projection

High Abundance Archetypes

Transitional / Stagnation

Fragile / High Doom Risk

Current Operating Point

Strategic Horizon: As energy cost scales toward zero ($0.01-0.03/kWh) coupled with autonomous robotics, real cost-of-goods plummets asymptotically. DHH notes public discourse disproportionately models catastrophic AI failure while discounting the empirical historical trajectory of expanding resource availability.