Alignment Safety Score
82
Buffer strength out of 100
Frontier Risk Index
Low-Moderate
Catastrophic exposure tier
Projected AGI Window
48 mo
Estimated 4.0 years at current pace
Recommended Action
Maintain Safety Buffer
Policy guidance status
Frontier Trajectory: Capability vs. Safety Horizon
Capability Curve
Safety Safeguard Horizon
Vulnerability Deficit Zone
Frontier Capability Milestones Projected
Dynamic Horizon (Months)
ASL-3 Autonomy
16 mo
CBRN & Cyber Uplift Gate
Autonomous AI R&D
32 mo
Self-improving codebases
Frontier AGI Parity
48 mo
Full cognitive task breadth
Superintelligence (ASI)
72 mo
Radical speedup beyond humans
Responsible Scaling Policy (RSP) & Dario Amodei Policy Logic
In public statements and company commitments, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei argued that continuing uncurbed exponential capability scaling without proportional safety guarantees severely shrinks human containment time. When capabilities grow faster than interpretability tools, red-teaming protocols, and international consensus, existential risk jumps exponentially.
Simulated Principle: Adjusting the pace (governance, compute caps, safety spending) widens the Safety Buffer, permitting verifiable audits before entering ASL-4 autonomous self-improvement regimes.