AI Risk Defusal & US-China Bilateral Treaty Sandbox

Bilateral Treaty Controls

Manipulate international constraints & inspect systemic impact

Scenario Presets

Compute Ceiling Cap 1.0e+26 FLOPs

Dual-use training hardware limits. Lower caps curb uncontrollable recursive breakout runs.

Shared Verification Inspectorate 75%

Joint US-China technical audit teams inspecting datacenters for clandestine mega-clusters.

Autonomous Weapon Ban Legally binding moratorium on AI target authorization without human-in-the-loop.

Open-Source Model Guardrails 85%

Cryptographic weight watermarking and CBRN-capability screening on released weights.

Nobel Peace Prize Incentive Vector 88.5 Index

Historic peacemaker incentive: Substantial mutual de-escalation presents unprecedented historic diplomatic legacy.

“Donald Trump is about to have the opportunity of a lifetime—if he is up for it... if Mr Trump were to help defuse AI’s most explosive risks, then the Nobel prize would be there for the taking.” — Gary Marcus, Guest Essay in The Economist

Global AI Threat & Stability Matrix

Interactive D3 force simulation: node tensions respond dynamically to parameter shifts

United States

China

Catastrophic Vector

Treaty Verification Hub

Nobel De-escalation Node

Catastrophic Risk 14.2% Decaying (-73% baseline)

Diplomatic Viability 88.5% Bilateral ratification odds

Inspection Coverage 75% Semiconductor verification

Geopolitical Posture Stabilized Crisis communication active