Calibrated against summit warnings on existential threats, safety governance, and sovereign competitiveness. Model 10-year trajectories across risk, economic viability, and public confidence.
Simulated systemic dynamics across a decade of frontier iterations
High safety oversight paired with robust public disclosure effectively dampens existential risk while maintaining sustainable economic innovation.
The model simulates a ten-year AI governance horizon, balancing catastrophic tail risks against economic viability and societal resilience. Risk score derives from calibrated offsets: baseline risk at 91.8 minus weighted safety oversight, international coordination, disclosure, and pacing levers. Selecting presets like Unchecked Pacing shifts policy inputs to near zero, causing 10-year risk to spike to over eighty percent as economic indexes plummet. Exporting briefs captures calibrated parameters, multi-metric outcomes, and synthesis assessments directly to a structured local JSON file.