Strategic Capital Workbench

AI ROI vs Learning Frontier Workbench

“A one-eyed focus on AI usage ignores ROI. A rigid focus on returns ignores the need to keep learning.” — The Economist
Corporate Archetypes
Quarterly Allocation
55%
45%
$250k
1.4x
8%/qtr
Counterfactual Shock Testing Normal
Simulate radical market shifts: sudden model commoditization or API price collapse.
12-Quarter Economic & Capability Trajectory
Interactive 3-Curve Projection
Terminal Net Value
$1,420k
Break-Even Quarter
Q4
Frontier Capability
88.6 / 100
Obsolescence Risk
Low (14%)
Strategic Assessment: Balanced High-Compounding Trajectory
Quarter Investment ($k) Quarterly Value ($k) Cumulative Net ($k) Capability Index Obsolescence Risk
Executive Strategy Summary Memo
Generating executive summary...

AI ROI vs Learning Frontier Mechanics

Read the explanation

Every quarter, enterprise capital divides between immediate automation returns and compounding frontier capabilities. Learning investment continuously expands the capability index, which in turn acts as power-law leverage on all downstream automation value. Shifting to the Vanity Adopter preset starves frontier research, resulting in quick early returns but steep obsolescence decay and model commoditization.

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