Scenario Presets Source-Grounded
Frontier Levers
85

Pace of multi-modal capability model training & automated code synthesis.

20

Time and compute reserved purely for interpretability & alignment guarantees.

30

Independent external audits, whistleblower channels & mandatory pause powers.

75

Departure rates of core research leads warning of humanity crunch time.

Context: Prompted by WIRED reporting on Anthropic & OpenAI researcher departures citing “crunch time for humanity” and calls for enforceable AI speed limits.
Capability Frontier 92.4 Scaling trajectory Index
Alignment Confidence 34.1% Guaranteed behavioral stability
Crunch Time Index 88.5 Critical danger threshold: 75.0
High Risk / Crunch Time
Preset: Unbounded Scaling
Safety Gap Margin -58.3 pts (Critical)
Researcher Flight Pressure Severe / Exodus Potential
Audited Verification Horizon 4.2 Months remaining
Governed Runway Status Unmitigated Acceleration
Recommended Policy Intervention: Mandate safety verification buffer and independent oversight
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