Delegation Policy Dials
DRAFT PACT 1.4
Diplomatic Preset Scenarios
75%
Percentage of leading-edge AI accelerator chips (H100/B200 equivalents) permitted for export under BIS licenses.
15,000 PF
Mandatory threshold (PFLOPS cluster capacity) triggering notification, on-site audits, and registry inspection.
60/100
Pre-deployment red-teaming rigor, catastrophic risk thresholds, and algorithmic CBRN non-proliferation covenants.
Bilateral AI Research Pact
Open joint labs for alignment & climate AI
Diplomatic Rule of Thumb:
High semiconductor flows appease US Silicon Valley titans but trigger national security vetoes unless paired with enforceable compute verification and safety alignment covenants.
Stability Metric
79%
Escalation buffer & treaty resilience
Dinner Consensus
High Probability
Executive ratification odds
Relative Capability
68/100
US lead in frontier compute
Flashpoint Risk
Silicon Supply Chain
Primary point of deal friction
Bilateral Geopolitical Trust & Commerce Web
US Delegation
CN Delegation
Allies / Industry
Summit Dinner Table
US Tech Titans
Endorsing
"Clear export rules unlock $45B in cloud & chip contracts without black-market leakages."
Defense & NatSec
Cautious
"Verification protocols are acceptable only if compute ceilings hold firm at 15,000 PF."
Global Allies (EU/G7)
Aligned
"Welcomes the safety covenant; prevents fragmented transatlantic AI compliance regimes."
Draft Bilateral Executive Communiqué
CONFIDENTIAL // FOR SIGNATURE
"The President of the United States and the President of the People's Republic of China, joined by senior artificial intelligence executives, agree to a controlled technology detente. Commercial semiconductor export caps are calibrated at 75%, paired with an audited 15,000 PFLOPS frontier compute threshold and mutual red-teaming covenants. The parties establish a joint research mechanism for existential AI safety."