INCIDENT REPORT

Air Cargo Supply Chain Risk & Operational Continuity Simulator

CASE STUDY Amazon / 21 Air Fleet Grounding: Modeling freight rerouting from Miami Intl (MIA) across Atlas Air, ABX Air, and Kalitta Air after aviation emergency.
Owner: Jim Crane • Primary Hub: MIA

Target Carrier: 21 Air

PAUSED

Dedicated Amazon Prime Air contractor operating contracted 767 freight volume out of Miami International (MIA).

21 Air Flight Operations
Operations suspended post-MIA incident
450 tons/day
100t (Min) 450t (WSJ Reported Baseline) 900t (Peak Surge)

Contingency Carriers & Spares

Available Cap

Available secondary ACMI carriers with expedited contract premiums and available fleet capacity.

Atlas Air (Boeing 767/777F) +15% Cost (1.15x)
Max Capacity: 300 t/d Allocated: 210 t
ABX Air (ATSG 767-200/300) +20% Cost (1.20x)
Max Capacity: 250 t/d Allocated: 165 t
Kalitta Air (Boeing 747/777F) +25% Cost (1.25x)
Max Capacity: 200 t/d Allocated: 75 t

Active Flight Routes & Freight Corridors

Interactive live graph: drag nodes or click hubs to inspect capacity
Active Grounded
Active Bottleneck: Miami International (MIA)
3 Corridors Rerouted
MIA → JFK (NY)
150 t/d
MIA → ORD (IL)
150 t/d
MIA → SEA (WA)
150 t/d

Network Continuity Verdict

Status
Mitigated with Contingency Capacity
Total Impacted Tonnage 450
Rerouted Capacity 450
Unallocated (Stranded) 0
Mitigation Cost Increase
18.5%
vs baseline ACMI
Primary Bottleneck Miami International (MIA)

SLA Delivery Integrity 98.2%

Next-Day Prime Breach Est: 0 packages
Daily Fuel/Rate Surcharge: +$83,250
Reserve Runway: 14 Days
Analyst Note

Contingency contracts absorb the 450t MIA grounding across Atlas and ABX Air with zero stranded freight. Cost inflation capped at +18.5%.

Air Cargo Disruption & Contingency Allocation Mechanism

Read the explanation

When primary carrier 21 Air suspends operations, four hundred fifty tons of daily air cargo out of Miami International are abruptly cut off from destination sorting hubs. To restore continuity, freight managers activate secondary carriers Atlas Air, ABX Air, and Kalitta Air, splitting the load across alternate flight paths. Each carrier carries a contract rate premium. Atlas adds fifteen percent, ABX adds twenty, and Kalitta adds twenty-five percent surcharge. Adjusting the allocation sliders dynamically recalculates rerouted tonnage, balancing stranded cargo risk to zero while computing the exact budget surcharge.

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