Alaska Senate Name Confusion Simulator

Reuters investigation: DOJ subpoenas probe whether identical candidate names confuse voters

Ballot Simulation

34.0%

Confusion Probability

0.5 = baseline, 1.0 = identical

Investigation Timeline

Alaska Senate Name Confusion Simulator

Read the explanation

The simulator models voter confusion beginning with a fixed base rate of twelve percent, supplemented by an eight percent cross-party penalty. Increasing the name similarity slider from zero point five to one linearly scales an identical name bonus, contributing up to twenty-two percent additional confusion. Ballot order adds an adjacency penalty of up to five percent when candidates sharing a name are placed directly adjacent on the ballot.

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