Download verified statistics, simulated probability trajectories, and match encounter logs in standard JSON or CSV.
Sports Verification & Source Notice: Grounded in the ESPN social post highlighting Carlos Alcaraz vs. Ben Shelton. Base stats reflect verified representative tournament matches (including ATP Masters 1000 Toronto and Grand Slam match tracking).
Saved matchup momentum model arithmetic
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The saved simulation enters one hundred forty-two mile-per-hour serve speed and subtracts one hundred thirty baseline, giving twelve. Multiplying by point four five creates five point four modeled percentage points. Bars explicitly use distinct units. This coefficient is a source heuristic, not fitted match probability or verified player performance. Saved twelfth-game baseline is fifty-eight. Subtracting five point four produces fifty-two point six for Alcaraz; the complement is forty-seven point four for Shelton. Bars share zero at six pixels per modeled percentage point and sum to six hundred pixels. These are programmed hypothetical outputs, not validated predictions. For the same game and speed, saved clay modifier adds six to give fifty-eight point six. Grass subtracts four to give forty-eight point six. Both remain inside twelve-to-eighty-eight clamp bounds. Bars share zero at six pixels per point. Historical match data and probabilities are saved fixtures. Complete raw native export/reset and responsive tool allocations remain preserved; actual sports forecasting quality is unproved.