Modeled Deaths (2023)
21,100
vs. 10,250 baseline in 1990
Mortality Doubling Multiplier
2.06×
106% aggregate surge over observation window
Alcohol Attributable Fraction (AAF)
5.8%
Of all evaluated oncological deaths
Disproportionate Cohort
Men and Adults Aged 55+
74.2% of total mortality concentration
Alcohol-Attributable Oncological Mortality Trajectory
Annual modeled deaths with 95% uncertainty interval and doubling threshold
Mean Deaths
95% CI
2× Baseline
Demographic Cohort & Etiological Matrix (2023 Modeled Data)
| Demographic Cohort | Age Subgroup | 1990 Baseline Deaths | 2023 Modeled Deaths | Multiplier (Change) | Attributable Frac. (AAF) | Dominant Site |
|---|