Event Parameters
Notice Window
7 days
Days notice given prior to scheduled opening night.
Ticket Volume
4,500
Total capacity/tickets sold across canceled dates.
Avg Ticket Price
$185
Out-of-Town Fans
68%
Percentage traveling requiring hotel & air travel.
Avg Flight Spend
$320
Avg Hotel Spend
$540
Non-Refundable Hotel %
45%
Dynamic forfeit rate increases as notice window shrinks.
Total Economic Impact
$3,142,800
Direct ripple across all stakeholders
Fan Unrecoverable Losses
$1,421,640
Forfeited flights + hotel cancellation fees
Venue Lost Ancillary
$888,660
F&B drop, casino floor spend, parking
Ticket Refunds Issued
$832,500
Gross primary ticket marketplace refunds
Stakeholder Loss Breakdown
Interactive Multi-Tier Exposure
Fan Unrecoverable Travel
Ticket Refunds (Promoter/Artist)
Venue F&B & Gaming Drop
Local Hospitality / Retail Loss
Artist Cancellation Profile Risk Index
| Profile Archetype | Historical Cancel Rate | Avg Notice Window | Fan Friction Score | Insurance Exposure |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morrissey Residency Pattern | 28% High | 6.2 Days | 9.4 / 10 | High (Exclusions Apply) |
| Stadium Pop Headline | 3% Low | 1.5 Days | 8.1 / 10 | Fully Insured (Weather/Health) |
| Legacy Rock Residency | 12% Med | 14.0 Days | 5.2 / 10 | Moderate Risk |