Axios Live Policy Brief

AxiosLive Health Care Cost Explorer & 1991 Benchmark

“Pennsylvania state Rep. Borowski tells Isaac Avilucea she’s concerned about health care costs and access to coverage: ‘I fear we're gonna be… right back where we were in 1991.’

Projected Annual Cost
$22,450
Premium + Out-of-Pocket Expense
Income Burden Percentage
29.9%
Share of median household income ($75k)
Access Gap Score
74.2
Exceeds 1991 baseline vulnerability index
Policy Scenarios
Economic Levers
6.2%
$8,400
28.5%
8.4%

Household Cost Burden vs. 1991 Benchmark

Historical curve (1991–2026) compared with baseline vulnerability parity.

Projected Burden
1991 Threshold (22.5%)
Analysis: Household health costs absorb 29.9% of median income under current parameters, exceeding the 1991 pre-reform baseline risk index.

The 1991 Comparison: Context & Policy Mechanics

In her AxiosLive discussion with Isaac Avilucea, Pennsylvania State Rep. Borowski cautioned that rising medical inflation, employer cost-shifting, and shifting Medicaid/CHIP rolls risk reverting household financial exposure back to the acute coverage vulnerability of 1991. Prior to major 1990s state reforms and the subsequent ACA coverage expansions, out-of-pocket volatility and insurance denial rates placed comparable strain on median income earners.

Sources & Verification: AxiosLive interview with PA Rep. Borowski (Sept 2026); Pennsylvania Department of Human Services Historical Coverage Series; Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index Medical Care Component (1991–2026).
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