Projected Distance 398 ft +14 ft over fence
Apex Height 88 ft at 226 ft from home
Hang Time 4.84 s Flight duration
Landing Speed 74.2 mph at 44.8° angle
Ballpark HR Odds 28 / 30 MLB parks out
Drag to inspect • Click canvas to launch
HOME RUN • Citi Field Right-Center Seats
4.84s
Ready: Lindor milestone configuration loaded (Citi Field).

30 MLB Ballpark Counterfactual Comparison

Would this exact hit leave the yard across major league stadiums under current atmospheric conditions?

28 / 30 Ballparks
Ballpark Team Fence Dist (Angle) Wall Height Ball Clearance Result
Baseball Flight Physics & Magnus Aerodynamics Model

Ballpark Trajectory Lab implements standard Alan Nathan / Robert Adair baseball aerodynamic differential equations. The ball's flight integrates gravitational acceleration ($g = 32.174\text{ ft/s}^2$), air drag dependent on local atmospheric density $\rho$ and velocity $C_d(v)$, plus Magnus lift generated by backspin and side spin.

Seam-shifted wake, Magnus lift coefficient $C_L = 1 / (2.32 + 0.4 / S)$, and air density variations between sea level (Citi Field, 14 ft) and altitude (Coors Field, 5,280 ft) radically shift flight carry. A ball hit at 103.8 mph with 27° launch angle travels ~398 ft at Citi Field, but carries over 420 ft in Denver's thin air.

Francisco Lindor Milestone Context: 300 Career Home Runs

On September 27, Francisco Lindor joined the elusive 300-HR club for switch-hitting shortstops in MLB history, joining Hall of Famer Cal Ripken Jr. and Ernie Banks among elite middle infielders.

Hitting from the left side at Citi Field, Lindor's milestone drive to right-center field required navigating Citi Field's deep 380-foot power alley and 8-foot wall. Use the presets above to compare Lindor's 300th blast against Aaron Judge's 62nd AL record blast and Giancarlo Stanton's low-launch line drive lasers.

Trace the saved run model with explicit quantities and common scales

Read the explanation

The saved ballpark model converts each input exit speed to feet per second with factor one point four six six six seven. One hundred miles per hour becomes one hundred forty-six point six six seven feet per second. Fifty miles per hour would become seventy-three point three three three five feet per second. Both bars show converted speeds at four pixels per foot per second. The second is an illustrative formula example, not a claim about an available preset or tracked player. Air density is scaled by exponential of negative elevation divided by twenty-eight thousand feet. At sea level the density ratio is one. At a hypothetical twenty-eight-thousand-foot elevation it is exponential of negative one, about point three six seven nine. The source also multiplies its drag coefficient by that density ratio, so with relative speed fixed the density contribution to its force is squared, about point one three five three. The bars display this actual combined density contribution, not density alone; this extreme example explains algebra, not a usable baseball park. Spin is multiplied by one minus point zero zero zero three once every point zero one-second integration step, with a floor of two hundred. An illustrative two-thousand-revolution-per-minute input becomes one thousand nine hundred ninety-nine point four after one step. After one hundred steps, before the floor matters, it is about one thousand nine hundred forty point eight eight. The bars share a revolution-per-minute scale. This is the source per-step decay, not evidence of actual spin measurements.

Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super