| Metric | Hull City | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Current Score | 2 | 1 |
| Win Probability | 90% | 2% |
| Belloumi Goals | 2 | 0 |
| Window Time Gap | 6 Minutes (74’ – 80’) | |
| Total Momentum Delta | +84% Win Prob Surge | |
Saved goal timestamps eighty and seventy-four subtract to six minutes. Bars share zero at six pixels per minute. These source match events are fixtures, not authenticated match records. Source win probability at seventy-three minutes is six percent and at seventy-four minutes forty-four percent. Difference is thirty-eight percentage points. Bars share zero at six pixels per percentage point. This is an authored probability schedule, not an independently calibrated live forecast. At eighty minutes source Hull win probability ninety minus forty-four gives forty-six points. Added to prior thirty-eight gives eighty-four percentage points total. Bars compare two increments at six pixels per point. Complete native timeline JSON and reset preserved; sporting truth and probability calibration unproved.