Bitcoin ETF Outflow & CLARITY Act Impact Analyzer

STRESS-TEST PARAMETERS

Simulated Net ETF Flow (Daily) -$450M

-$1.5B (Extreme Outflow) $0 +$1.0B (Surge)

Legislative Environment SENATE STALL

Order Book Depth Assumption $12.0B / 2% Depth

Quick Pre-set Scenarios

CoinDesk Signal: U.S. spot $BTC ETFs witnessed $450M in single-day outflows on Tuesday following the Senate's failure to advance the CLARITY Act, registering the heaviest institutional withdrawal rate since the June 25 record.

MARKET PRESSURE & INSTITUTIONAL DISTRIBUTION Heavy Single-Day Distribution

TOTAL SIMULATED NET FLOW

$450.00M

Outflow Pressure

ESTIMATED SPOT PRICE IMPACT

-3.85%

Implied Spot Slip

ESTIMATED SUPPORT TEST LEVEL

$58,400

Base BTC Reference: $60,740

INSTITUTIONAL ABSORPTION TIME

2.4 Days

Drain: 3.75% of Daily Depth

BREAKDOWN BY ISSUER (PROPORTIONAL MODEL) Sum: $450.00M

Ticker / Fund	Issuer	Est. Flow	Share	Relative Magnitude

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