Bitcoin vs Gold Allocation & Performance Simulator
Evaluate JPMorgan's market thesis on store-of-value competition. Model 5-year compounding wealth curves, annual growth rates (CAGR), and risk-adjusted Sharpe profiles under customizable monetary debasement and institutional adoption regimes.
Macroeconomic Driver Controls
Dynamic Engine
Macroeconomic Scenario Presets
Initial Investment ($ USD)
$100,000
$10k$500k$1,000k
Hybrid Portfolio BTC Allocation
50% BTC / 50% Gold
0% (100% Gold)50/50 Blend100% (Pure BTC)
Determines allocation weight in the custom rebalanced Hybrid benchmark.
Projected Average Inflation (CPI)
3.5%
1.0%5.0%10.0%
Monetary debasement elevates nominal hard-asset safe-haven premiums.
Institutional Adoption Velocity (IBIT/ETFs)
75 / 100
10 (Dormant)50 (Moderate)100 (Unprecedented)
Measures capital structural reallocation from sovereign bonds into digital collateral.
Macro Volatility Drag Multiplier
2.2x
1.0x (Calm)2.5x4.0x (Severe Drawdown)
Investment Horizon
5 Years
1 Year5 Years10 Years
Bitcoin (100%)
$284,500
Gold Bullion (100%)
$141,200
Hybrid Allocation (50/50)
$212,850
JPMorgan Thesis
Projected Outperformance Parity: Bitcoin delivers superior capital efficiency
2.02x
Gold Return Multiple
Cumulative Wealth Trajectory ($ USD)
Multi-Asset Compounding
| Strategy | Terminal Wealth | Total Return | 5Y CAGR | Max Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio |
|---|
Authoritative Model Contract State
Bitcoin Projected CAGR
23.2%
Gold Projected CAGR
7.2%
Outperformance Multiple
2.02x
Terminal Value (Bitcoin)
$284,500.00
Terminal Value (Gold)
$141,200.00
Terminal Value (Hybrid)
$212,850.00