Bond Yield Regime Impact Explorer
Quantify equity DCF sensitivity as discount rates shift from structural tailwind to headwind
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Tailwind Regime
Discount Rate (WACC): 9.70%
$210.01
Intrinsic Value / Share
10-Year Risk-Free Yield (Rf)
4.20%
Tailwind (1-2.5%)
Neutral (2.5-4.2%)
Headwind (>4.2%)
REGIME PRESETS
2010–20 Tailwind
2022 Pivot
Current Regime
Stress Test
Current Regime: Neutral-to-tight monetary stance (~4.2%), returning valuations to cash-flow discipline.
Present Value Contribution by Horizon
Terminal Share: 72.8%
DCF Model Assumptions & Company Parameters
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Warning: Terminal growth must be strictly lower than discount rate (capped to avoid negative terminal value).
Base Year FCF ($M)
Equity Risk Premium (%)
Beta (β)
Terminal Growth (%)
Shares Out. (M)
DCF Cash Flow & Valuation Breakdown
Period
FCF ($M)
Growth Rate
Discount Factor
Present Value ($M)
% of Total Value
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