Broncos 98-Yard Pick-6 Dynamics & EPA Swing Simulator

Field Pos DEN 2 YD

Sprint Speed 21.4 MPH

EPA Swing +11.10

Closest Pursuit 4.2 YDS

Tackle Probability 4.1%

0.0s / 12.8s

Speed:

Expected Points Added (EPA) Swing Play Net: +11.10

A red-zone interception on the goal line creates the single largest point equity swing in American football.

+4.15 Off Threat

+6.95 Pick-6 TD

Pre-Snap Offensive Goal-Line EPA: +4.15 pts (Erased)

Defensive Touchdown Return EPA: +6.95 pts (Added)

Total Expected Point Swing: +11.10 Net Swing

Win Probability Estimate Delta: +34.8% Shift

Returner Speed (MPH): 21.4

Chaser Speed (MPH): 20.2

Chaser Cutoff Angle (°): 28°

Lead Block Efficiency: High (2 blocks)

Outcome Simulation: TOUCHDOWN (Returner creates +4.6 yard separation at the 50-yard line due to sideline seal block).

Year / Player	Team	Distance	Result
2026 Highlight (Current)	DEN vs Opp	98 Yards	Touchdown (11.1 EPA)
2008 Champ Bailey	DEN @ ATL	100 Yards	Touchdown
2000 Deltha O'Neal	DEN vs KC	100 Yards	Touchdown
1974 Louis Wright	DEN @ MIA	98 Yards	Touchdown
2008 Ed Reed	BAL vs PHI	107 Yards	NFL Record TD
2009 James Harrison	PIT vs ARI	100 Yards	Super Bowl XLIII TD