CryptoQuant Bull Index & Rate Hike Impact Simulator

Macro & On-Chain Drivers Parametric Matrix

Fed Rate Hike Delta +25 bps

0 bps (Pause) 25 bps (First Hike) 100 bps (Aggressive)

Exchange Reserve Net Flow (BTC) -12,500 BTC

-50k BTC (Outflow Shock) 0 +50k BTC (Dump Risk)

Perp Funding Rate (8h) +0.012%

-0.030% (Extreme Short) +0.010% Neutral +0.050% Overleveraged

Miner Outflow (BTC / Day) 450 BTC

0 (Accumulation) 450 (Normal) 2,500 (Mass Capitulation)

Initial Bull Index Baseline 80 pts

50 Neutral 80 (Pre-Hike Level) 100 Max Euphoria

Real-Time CryptoQuant Telemetry Status: BEARISH

Modeled Bull Index

Baseline: 80

Macro Impact Score

78.5

Scale: 0–100 Max Stress

Sentiment Tag

Bearish

Threshold: <35 Bearish

Liquidation Risk

High

Stress tier: 78.5/100

7-Day Macro Propagation Trajectory

Pre-Hike (80)

Modeled Index Path

Macro Event Context: First Federal Reserve interest rate hike since 2023 triggered an aggressive capital rotation out of high-beta risk assets. CryptoQuant analysts registered an instant 50-point drop from euphoric 80 down to 30.