Creator Prediction & Accountability Protocol
Transform raw public creator calls into tamper-proof benchmarks evaluated against real-time exchange candles.
Calls Indexed
14,892
Avg Brier Score
0.184
Truth Accuracy
64.2%
Active Creators
128
1. Prediction Parser
LIVE NLP
Creator
@AlphaSeeker
Asset / Pair
SOL / USD
Direction
LONG ▲
Entry Price
$132.50
Target Price (TP)
$188.00 (+41.8%)
Invalidation (SL)
$118.00 (-10.9%)
Expiry Horizon
30 Days
Stated Conviction
85% High
2. Trajectory & Resolution Verifier
SOL/USD 1D
Playback Progress (Days Elapsed)
Day 24 of 30
VERIFIED TARGET HIT
Resolved on Day 19 at $189.40 (+42.9%)
Max Excursion
+45.2%
Drawdown
-4.1%
Brier Loss
0.022
On-Chain Proof & Hash
sha256:8f3c4e1b092a95d7b56f89046cde6e1893c5d64e4ff8110b14c330dfbc693e5a
3. Creator Intel & Rankings
TRACK RECORDA
78.5%
Hit Rate
0.112
Brier Score
3.42x
Profit Factor
Total Calls Audited: 42
Avg Holding: 14d
Leaderboard (Truth-Weighted)
Ranking formula penalizes overconfident calls that get invalidated using quadratic Brier penalties.
1. Unambiguous Structuring
Vague crypto calls like "Solana looks bullish soon" get converted into verifiable contracts with mandatory Entry, Take-Profit, Stop-Loss, and finite expiration windows.
2. Path-Dependent Verification
Predictions are not scored merely by end-date price. If the invalidation price is touched before the target, the call is recorded as an immediate failed invalidation regardless of later rebounds.
3. Brier Score Calibration
Strict probabilistic scoring: BS = (f - o)². Creators stating 99% conviction on a failing call suffer 10x higher score depreciation than calibrated modest forecasters.