Policy evidence workbench

See which assumptions move the capital-gains tax debate.

Weight the mechanisms, expose the pivotal uncertainty, and leave with a brief that separates evidence from values.

Policy frame

Set your priorities

Behavioral uncertainty

Representative sample loaded.

Current posture

Target the preference, do not assume one rate

ConfidenceModerate

The balanced sample favors reducing lock-in while preserving revenue and equity safeguards. Verify the realization-response estimate next.

Sensitivity

The posture changes if equity weight rises 12 points.

Mechanism map

What drives the result

Pivotal: lock-in

Tradeoff matrix

ClaimDirectionEvidenceVerify next

Next action

Check a current realization-elasticity review for the selected jurisdiction.

This tool organizes assumptions. It does not provide tax, legal, investment, or individualized policy advice.

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