Carrier Strike Group Deployment & Readiness Forecaster

OFRP Cycle Sim v2.4
Crew Strain Index
+68.0%
Severe fatigue & retention hazard
Deferred Depot Backlog
14.2 wks
Estimated shipyard work deficit
Rotational Reset Delay
4.5 mos
OFRP availability slippage
Ready Fleet Inventory
2.6 / 11
Surge-capable CVNs
OFRP 36-Month Cycle Breakdown (Adjusted for Overrun) Total: 40.5 Months
Maint (6m)
Train (7m)
Deploy (8.6m)
Sustain (14m)
Overrun (+4.5m)
Maintenance Basic & Adv Training Forward Deployment Ready Sustainment Maintenance Overrun

Fatigue & Human Strain Trajectory

Depot Maintenance Backlog Growth

Rotational Impact Comparison Matrix

Scenario Deploy Days Daily Sorties Crew Strain Δ Yard Backlog Cycle Slippage Fleet Availability
Standard OFRP Baseline 180 d 55 / day 0.0% (Nominal) 0.0 wks +0.0 mos 3.5 CVNs
Extended Contingency 240 d 65 / day +44.2% 8.5 wks +2.6 mos 2.9 CVNs
USS Abraham Lincoln Surge (Current) 260 d 75 / day +68.0% 14.2 wks +4.5 mos 2.6 CVNs
Extreme Sustained Surge 300 d 90 / day +128.5% 26.4 wks +8.2 mos 1.9 CVNs
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