Pathways Alliance CCS FID Engineering & Capital Decision Workbench

Total Capture Rate 6 Nodes
12.4 Mtpa
33.9 kt/d CO2 Mass Flow

Levelized Cost (LCOCS) CAD $/t
$94.80
Gross $148.50 / Net after ITC

Project Unlevered NPV 10% Disc
$3.42 B CAD
Project IRR: 14.8%

Net CAPEX Requirement Phase 1
$9.18 B CAD
Gross: $16.5B | ITC Aid: $7.3B

Trunkline Terminal P @ Cold Lake
9.42 MPa
Dense Supercritical (Safe > 8.0 MPa)

Late-2027 FID Score Readiness
76 / 100
PROCEED WITH CONTINGENCY

1. Pipeline Hydraulics & Dense-Phase CO2 Engine

VELOCITY: 1.62 m/s

Trunkline Outer Diameter (OD) 24 inches (DN600)

Inlet Compression Pressure 14.5 MPa

Ambient Ground Soil Temp 4 °C (Permafrost/Clay)

Midpoint Booster Compression 2.8 MPa

HYDRAULIC PRESSURE PROFILE [0km ➔ 400km] DENSE PHASE BOUNDARY: 7.38 MPa (Crit P)

2. Fiscal Policy, Carbon Offsets & Grants

CFD MONETIZATION

Federal CCUS ITC (Capture Equip) 50% Refundable

Federal CCUS ITC (Pipe/Transport) 37.5% Refundable

Alberta Carbon Price / Offset Value $170 CAD / tonne

Discount Rate (WACC) 9.5%

Alberta TIER Compliance Offsets Clean Fuel Regs (CFR) Monetization (+$18/t) AB Carbon Capture Incentive (12% CAPEX) Federal Contract for Difference (Floor $130)

Fiscal Stream	Rate / Basis	Annual CAD	$/t CO2

3. LCOCS Abatement Matrix & Sensitivity

25-YR ASSET LIFE

CAPEX Inflation Stress 0% Delta

Electricity Power Tariff (Pumping) $85 / MWh

LCOCS SENSITIVITY TORNADO MATRIX ($/tonne CO2 abated delta from base)

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