Policy Levers
Adjustable Inputs
65%
Share of overseas trade revenue returned via official foreign exchange corridors (NIMA / integrated market).
40
Direct dollar liquidity auctions deployed by the monetary authority to defend exchange parity.
50
Subsidized letter-of-credit allocation for domestic factories and intermediate component importers.
45.5
Central bank accessible sovereign foreign exchange buffer at simulation start.
Baseline markup of street informal rate relative to official central bank clearing rates.
Ending FX Reserves
42.1B
-3.4B (-7.5%)
Parallel Market Spread
Industrial Liquidity Stress
54.0
Moderate Pressure
Economic Stability Index
62.4
Resilient Buffer
12-Month Macroeconomic Trajectory Telemetry
Real-time projection curves across reserves, street spread, liquidity, and stability
FX Reserves ($B)
Spread (%)
Stability (0-100)
Stress (0-100)
Macroeconomic Stability Assessment
Moderate stabilization achieved via trader repatriation flows with controlled reserve loss.
Export surrender flows mitigate parallel dollar spikes while capital defense keeps central bank foreign assets solvent through month 12.
◆ Reserve Depletion vs. FX Defense
Repatriation rates of 65% offset 42% of central bank intervention burn, decelerating monthly reserve erosion.
◆ Factory Liquidity vs. Price Control
Import credit rationing balances currency flight prevention against industrial procurement slowdowns for manufacturers.