China Mental Healthcare Capacity & Access Gap Simulator

Estimated Need Population

246.8M

17.5% prevalence rate

Psychiatrist Deficit

82,400

Below target (10 / 100k)

Effective Treatment Rate

25.4%

184.2M unmet cases

Out-of-Pocket Risk

38.6%

Avg ¥4,800/yr / BMI 35%

Policy & System Levers

Focus Demographics

Psychiatrists per 100k pop 4.2

Psychiatric Beds per 100k 31.5

Stigma & Avoidance Discount 42%

Basic Medical Ins. (BMI) Reimbursement 35%

Community Triage & Tele-Psychiatry 28%

Annual Therapy Out-of-Pocket (CNY ¥) ¥4,800

Model calibrates WHO, National Health Commission (NHC), and China Mental Health Survey baseline dynamics.

Psychiatrists / 100k: 9.8

Est. Unmet Need: 54.2%

Catastrophic Risk: 22.4%

Psychiatrists / 100k: 4.6

Est. Unmet Need: 71.8%

Catastrophic Risk: 39.1%

Psychiatrists / 100k: 1.4

Est. Unmet Need: 88.5%

Catastrophic Risk: 58.7%