Senate Floor Whip Count
Rule XXII: 60 Votes RequiredPROJECTED YES VOTES
58
CLOTURE STATUS
Vulnerable - Needs 2 more votes
60 TO PASS
Committed Yes: 48
Undecided: 20
Committed No: 32
CHAMBER SEAT VISUALIZATION (100 SENATORS)
Legislative Presets
Ethics Amendment & Sensitivity Analysis
Trump-Adviser Discussions
75%
Simulates institutional disclosure concessions discussed during Friday's undisclosed Trump adviser briefing. Higher compromise converts key centrist undecideds.
48
20
Cloture Probability Model
45.5%
Needed: 2 votes
Under a 75% ethics compromise level, an estimated 50.0% of the 20 undecided swing senators lean toward cloture (+10 projected). With 48 committed Yes votes, total projected support stands at 58—leaving the bill 2 votes short of the mandatory 60-vote threshold.
POLITICO & COINDESK SITUATION SUMMARY
- President Trump convened senior advisers Friday to review the CLARITY Act's controversial ethics disclosure mandate.
- Outcome of the White House strategy meeting remained undisclosed ahead of the critical Monday, Sept 15 cloture vote.
- Reaching the 60-vote filibuster-proof threshold requires winning over at least 60% of current uncommitted moderate and financial-sector-aligned senators.