Anatomy of the Game-Winner: Clutch Shot & Win Probability Analyzer

🏀 Interactive Tactical Half-Court

Drag 🟡 Shooter or 🔴 Defender to recalculate contest distance & xFG%.

Score Differential (Trailing / Leading) -1 PTS

Game Clock Remaining 1.8s

Defender Contest Distance 2.4 ft

Shooter Release Elevation / Height 9.4 ft

📊 Win Probability Added & Leverage Index

3-PT Field Goal

Shot Distance

25.6 ft

Arc Angle: 48°

Contest Grade

Tight

2.4 ft gap

Expected xFG%

34.2%

xEV: 1.03 pts

WPA Swing

+84.6%

LI: 8.8 (Ultra)

Clutch Possession Win Probability Wave Pre: 15.4% ➔ Made: 100.0%

Possession Context: Down 1 with 1.8s left (Trailing buzzer-beater scenario)

Defensive Contest Penalty: -8.5% xFG (Challenged release under 3.0 ft)

Leverage Index (LI): 8.82x normal regular possession stake

Miss Outcome Win Probability: 0.0% (Game Over / Defeat)