Miami Cargo Jet Runway Crash Investigation Workbench

Flight Data Recorder Telemetry Scrub Runway 09 Approach & Rollout

T-60.0s

Airspeed

148 kts

Radio Alt

350 ft

Descent Rate

-780 fpm

Thrust (N1)

62% ENG1/2

RUNWAY 09 (10,500 FT) - SURFACE: STANDING WATER DISTANCE REMAINING: 10,500 FT

Hypothesis Testing Matrix NTSB Standard Factor Weights

Severe Microburst / Crosswind +38% Risk

Heavy rain squall at 15:14 UTC with 35kt gust shift reported 2 miles out.

Runway Hydroplaning / Low Mu +32% Risk

Braking coefficient reduced to μ = 0.18 under standing water accumulation.

Thrust Reverser Asymmetry +18% Risk

FDR traces indicate Left Engine bucket deployed; Right bucket transit delay.

Deep Touchdown (>3,200ft) +24% Risk

Floating past marked touchdown zone severely reduced available stopping margin.

Modeled Overrun & Impact Probability 88%

Surface Condition

Wind Component

Sequence of Events (UTC Timeline)

15:14:57 UTC (T-60s)

Final Approach Fix Inbound

Stabilized on ILS Runway 09, airspeed 148 kts, flaps 30.
15:15:22 UTC (T-35s)

Wind Shear Warning Triggered

Aircraft encountered localized rain cell; tailwind vector spiked +14 kts.
15:15:39 UTC (T-18s)

Threshold Crossing & Touchdown

Main landing gear touchdown at 2,850 ft mark at 138 kts groundspeed.
15:15:49 UTC (T-8s)

Dynamic Hydroplaning & Reverser Asymmetry

Braking deceleration 0.12g vs nominal 0.38g. Yaw excursion left.
15:15:57 UTC (T-0s)

Runway Overrun & Post-Impact Fire

Departed paved surface at 64 kts into perimeter swale; 5 onboard fatalities.

Forensic Incident Brief Auto-compiled from telemetry model

Generating preliminary NTSB summary brief...

Incident Baseline: Based on breaking news reported by CNBC regarding the Amazon cargo jet fiery runway overrun accident in Miami (5 fatalities). This investigative workbench implements standard NTSB/FAA performance calculation models (FAA AC 91-79A Runway Overrun Prevention & TALPA braking coefficients) to allow interactive safety and causal factor analysis.