Point-by-Point Momentum & Leverage Timeline
Point 1 / 198 (Set 1 - 0-0)
Cobolli Win Prob
48.2%
Leverage Index
1.12x
Game Score
0-0 (0-0)
Point Context
Cobolli Hold
Rally Shots / Aggression
4 shots (IO-FH)
Set-by-Set Tactical Shifts
Comeback Anatomy
| Tactical Metric | Set 1 (4-6) | Set 2 (7-6) | Set 3 (6-3) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Serve Points Won | 64% | 76% | 84% |
| 2nd Serve Return Attack | 38% | 52% | 61% |
| Inside-Out Forehand Winners | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| Break Points Converted | 0 / 1 | 1 / 2 | 2 / 3 |
| Break Points Saved | 1 / 3 | 4 / 4 | 2 / 2 |
| Avg Rally Depth (m from baseline) | 1.4m | 0.6m | 0.2m |
Counterfactual Pivot Simulator
Alternate Match Paths
Toggle critical pivotal points in Set 2 to observe how the match outcome vector and win probability would have shifted:
Set 2 (4-4, 30-40) Break Point:
Actual: Cobolli hit a 122mph body serve & +1 forehand winner. (Win prob maintained at 44%).
Set 2 Tiebreak (4-4 Minibreak):
Actual: Cobolli forced an error on a 14-shot crosscourt rally, going up 5-4.
Simulated Match Outcome
Cobolli wins 4-6, 7-6(4), 6-3 (Baseline Reality: 100% Milestones achieved)
Verified Match Summary & Card Generator