Rivalry Scenarios
Preset selection
Probability Controls
Interactive Inputs
Championship Probability
12%
Playoff Contention Threshold
25%
Scheduling Logistics Friction
8.5 / 10
The Athletic Thesis: When teams fall below viable playoff contention, fan interest decays sharply unless sustained by deeply rooted, high-stakes geographic rivalries.
Border War (Kansas vs. Missouri)
D3.js Relationship & Logistics Network
Rivalry Anchor
Scheduling Logistics
Playoff Contention
Fan Engagement Decay
Deterministic Telemetry
Live Contract Proof
Fan Interest Index
42.5%
Relative to peak conference baseline
Engagement Status
Waning (Below Playoff Threshold)
Playoff odds (12%) < Threshold (25%)
Scheduling Logistics Impact
High Friction
9-game league slate limits non-conference games
Rivalry Decay Risk
Elevated Fan Disconnect
Realignment calendar squeeze creates hiatus vulnerability
“Due to the logistics of college football, it's difficult to schedule rivalry games like the Border War or Cy-Hawk. But when fans don't think their team will win the championship or league – or even make the Playoff – their interest will wane.”
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