COMEDK Counselling Seat Matrix & Flow Simulator 2026 Engine

Simulate Round 1–4 seat cascades, post-R3 surrender cliffs, Round 5 merit cutoffs, and Management Quota (MQ) institutional conversions.
CANDIDATE RANK: 4,850 (GM Category)
Official 4-Round Status: Waitlisted at DSCE ISE
SIMULATED ROUND 5 / SPOT OUTCOME
Simulated Round 5 Status: Admitted to MSRIT AIML (Projected Rank Cutoff: 5,120)
Unfilled Merit Seats (R4)
142
Vacant across top 7 Karnataka colleges
R5 Simulated Merit Admissions
128
Students absorbed via Spot/Round 5
Projected MQ Conversion Value
28.4 Cr
142 unallotted seats converted to MQ @ 20L avg
Merit Seat Retention Rate
94.8%
With Round 5 Spot round vs 89.2% without
Simulation Controls Rule Config
Official 2026 Trend
High Surrender Wave (25%)
Zero Surrender Cliff (5%)
Open Spot Mandate
Candidates forfeiting seats post-KCET/JEE allotments
RVCE BMSCE MSRIT DSCE BIT NIE Mysore Sir MVIT
CSE ISE AIML ECE Mech
Counselling Seat Cascade & MQ Conversion Flow Sankey Projection
• Round 1: 2,750 Total Merit Seats • Round 3 Surrenders: ~18% • R4 Unallocated Pool: 142 Seats • MQ Value @ ₹20L/seat avg
College & Branch Vacancy Matrix (Post-Round 4 vs Projected Round 5) 4 Selected Colleges | Top Tech Branches
College Branch Total Intake R3 Cutoff R4 Vacancy Projected R5 Cutoff R5 Absorbed Leftover to MQ (R4 Exit) Est. MQ Revenue Loss
COMEDK Seat Holding & Surrender Rules
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Round 1 & 2 "Accept & Upgrade": Candidates can hold a confirmed seat while seeking higher priority options without immediate full penalty.
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Round 3 Surrender Window Cliff: Candidates who surrender post-Round 3 forfeit tuition fees or face processing deduction. Many surrender late after securing KCET/JoSAA seats.
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Institutional Management Conversion: Under standard rules, when COMEDK concludes after Round 4, unallocated merit seats do not lapse back to CET; colleges convert them into direct Management Quota seats.
Student Advocacy Note: Conducting a centralized Round 5 Spot Allotment recovers up to 90% of vacant seats for merit candidates at regular COMEDK fee structures (~₹2.6L/year) instead of exorbitant MQ donation rates (₹15L–₹35L).
Mathematical Simulation Model
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Vacancy Calculation: $V_{R4} = \text{Intake} \times (1 - \alpha_{retention}) \times \gamma_{surrender}$ where $\gamma$ accounts for parallel KCET/JoSAA final rounds.
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Projected Cutoff Extension: Cutoff shifts by $\Delta Rank = V_{branch} \times \text{Multiplier}(College, Tier)$, opening top tech branches to ranks up to 15-20% higher.
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Institutional MQ Value: Calculated as $V_{unfilled} \times \text{Market MQ Premium Rate}$. RVCE/BMSCE/MSRIT command ₹25L–₹35L per CSE seat in direct institutional admission.
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