Civic evidence, without surveillance

Count the signal.
Show the uncertainty.

Profile locations are self-reported, inconsistent, incomplete, and governed by platform terms. This planner turns data you lawfully possess into grouped evidence, never a list of people.

Likely target matches00 to 0 after assumptions
Coverage estimate0%Set an estimated population
Unknown location00% of records
Evidence confidenceLowAdd documented aggregate sources

Evidence inputs

Bring lawful aggregates

No file selected
Aggregated location evidence
Entered stringNormalized groupRegionCountActions

Matching method

Define the target

Match mode

Grouped evidence

What the strings support

Illustrative
Load the fictional example or add aggregates to see how normalization changes the estimate.

Coverage and uncertainty

Bound the estimate

0No estimate1,200

Coverage is an assumption, not a measured platform property. Document how you derived it.

Mapless regional summary

See distribution, not people

Sampling bias

Reach changes the answer.

A location field can omit people who use jokes, neighborhoods, no location, or an old city. Model who your evidence source over- and under-represents before using the number publicly.

High bias risk

Your current source is much more likely to represent highly engaged members than casual or remote members.

Advocacy planning

Turn evidence into a realistic target.

Separate the observed aggregate from the proposed target. State both the evidence and the assumptions so others can inspect the case.

Evidence-adjusted community0

Add evidence to assess the target

This result will distinguish observed matches, coverage-adjusted estimates, and your proposed advocacy target.

Defensible alternative

Run an opt-in survey

Ask one narrow eligibility question, publish the purpose and retention period, avoid handles, and report only groups large enough to protect respondents.

Build the survey plan

Methodology report

Make every assumption inspectable.

The report updates as you change the workspace. It is suitable for a memo, not a claim of a live platform count.

Scope

What this can establish

Normalization

How strings are grouped

Uncertainty

What the range means

Limitations

What remains unknown

Privacy review

Before sharing results

0/6

Scenario comparisons

Save your assumptions

No saved scenarios yet.

Scenarios stay in this browser.

Opt-in survey builder

A more defensible way to count belonging.

Profile text is a weak proxy for community membership. An opt-in survey can ask the relevant question directly while minimizing the data collected.

Invite at least0to collect 0 responses
  1. Ask one eligibility question.“Do you currently identify as part of this community?”
  2. Explain purpose and retention.State who will see aggregate results and when raw responses will be deleted.
  3. Do not require identity.Avoid handles, names, emails, precise addresses, and free-text fields.
  4. Publish methods with results.Include dates, recruitment channels, response rate, uncertainty, and exclusions.

Data literacy

Words that keep the claim honest.

Coverage

The share of the relevant population represented by your evidence source. It is usually estimated and should be justified.

Normalization

Rules that turn formatting variants into comparable strings, such as lowercasing and grouping known aliases.

Fuzzy match

A similarity rule that can catch typos but may also create false positives. Inspect grouped strings before publishing.

Sampling bias

A systematic difference between people included in the evidence and the full community you want to describe.

Confidence interval

A range reflecting sampling uncertainty under stated assumptions. It does not repair poor coverage or biased recruitment.

Deduplication

An assumption about repeated records. Without stable identifiers, an aggregate estimate cannot know exact duplicates.

Paste aggregate CSV

Accepted headers: location,count,region,suspicious. Identity columns are blocked.

Reset the planner?

This clears aggregate rows, saved scenarios, and local assumptions from this browser.

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