Positioning Parameters
285,000 contracts
Record managed money long concentration
5 Days
Longest negative stretch since June test
14.2%
Domestic carryover vs 5-year average
1 Catalyst
Weather premiums, export surges, or policy shifts
Scenario Presets
Futures Slump Curve & Exposure Analysis
High Liquidation RiskModeled Price Drop
-4.85%
Cumulative slump drawdown
Liquidation Pressure
82 / 100
Managed money unwinding risk
Est. Margin Call Vol
$1.42B
Notional margin maintenance stress
Hedge Fund Vulnerability Index
Critical Long Trap
Modeled 5-Day Trajectory
Historical June Baseline
Reference Baseline: $438.50/bu | CME Dec Contract