Legislative Compromise Mixer

Fine-tune contested statutory parameters
CFTC Jurisdiction Share (Digital Commodities) 65%
SEC Primary (10%) Split Oversight (50%) CFTC Primary (90%)
Consumer Custody & Proof-of-Reserves Mandate 80%
Voluntary Self-Regulation (20%) Segregated Client Assets (80%) Strict Custodial Trust (100%)
Bipartisan Compromise Level 35%
Gridlock / Standoff (35%) Committee Agreement (60%) Floor Supermajority (90%)
Stablecoin Yield Ban Provision
Restricts non-bank stablecoin issuers from distributing automated yield/interest (GENIUS / Clarity Act clause).
Legislative Presets:
Stakeholder Alignment & Veto Risk Live Support Index
Sen. Lummis (R-WY)
Lead Proponent
Demands CFTC spot authority & unhindered self-custody.
78%
Senate Dem Caucus
Negotiating Bloc
Holds bill hostage over DeFi AML/KYC & SEC clawbacks.
32%
SEC Chair
Securities Regulator
Resists carve-outs reducing Howey test jurisdiction.
25%
CFTC Leadership
Commodities Regulator
Favors expanded cash market authority with funding line.
85%

Legislative Impact & Probability Analysis

Real-time congressional math & regulatory clarity index
Legislative Passage Probability
38%
Needs 60 Senate votes to overcome filibuster.
Market Clarity Score
71 / 100
Reduces SEC enforcement-by-litigation ambiguity.
Deadlock Status
Stalled (Partisan Standoff)
Partisan negotiations paused pending Banking Committee committee markup concessions.
Primary Legislative Blocker
Jurisdictional dispute over decentralized finance oversight.
Regulatory Jurisdiction & Compliance Burden Matrix Est. Industry Cost: $1.42B / yr
Compromise Delta Summary
Senate Floor Target
47 / 60 Votes
Stablecoin Reserve Standard
100% Cash / T-Bills
DeFi Enforcement Scope
Unresolved / Strict
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