Cash & Carry Arbitrage Analytics
Contango ArbitrageBasis Convergence & Settlement Payoff
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Simulate annualized basis yields, funding spread parity, collateral margin buffers, and cash-and-carry trade performance for regulated CME crypto contracts.
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CME crypto futures settle directly against CME CF Reference Rates calculated between 3:00 PM and 4:00 PM London time. There is no physical delivery risk: convergence to spot at expiry is mathematically guaranteed by the cash settlement fixing.
When futures trade at a premium to spot (contango), an arbitrageur buys spot tokens and simultaneously sells futures contracts. Locking the spread eliminates directional price risk while generating fixed annualized yield.
Because CME margin is mark-to-market daily, an adverse spot surge requires variation margin in USD at the clearinghouse even while spot coin appreciated. The model factors in a 20% cushion above standard maintenance margin.