MLB Rivalry

Cubs vs Brewers Series Matchup Explorer

Chicago
Cubs
2026 Head-to-Head: 2 - 4 (230 all-time wins)
Final Series of Season
3-Game Set
American Family Field (Brewers Home)
Milwaukee
Brewers
2026 Head-to-Head: 4 - 2 (237 all-time wins)
Series Win Probability Simulator Interactive Model
Calculated across 3 games via binomial state evaluation
Cubs Series Win: 41.8% 58.2% :Brewers Series Win
Cubs Sweep (3-0)
8.2%
Cubs Win (2-1)
33.6%
Brewers Win (2-1)
41.2%
Brewers Sweep (3-0)
17.0%
Home-Field Advantage (Brewers) +5%
Brewers are 3-0 at home vs Cubs in 2026
Cubs Starting Pitching Modifier 0%
Adjust for Cubs rotation quality/rest
Brewers Bullpen Dominance +4%
Late-inning leverage performance
Cubs Offensive Momentum 0%
Recent wRC+ and run creation boost
Final 3-Game Series Scenario Builder
Edit projected starters and runs per game
Game 1 • Friday MIL Projected Win
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Projected Winner: Milwaukee Brewers (5 - 4)
Game 2 • Saturday CHC Projected Win
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Projected Winner: Chicago Cubs (6 - 3)
Game 3 • Sunday MIL Projected Win
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Projected Winner: Milwaukee Brewers (4 - 3)
Current Scenario Series Outcome: Brewers win series 2-1 (Run Differential: Cubs +1, Brewers -1)
Total Runs: CHC 13, MIL 12
Historical & 2026 Head-to-Head Breakdown
Metric / Category Chicago Cubs Milwaukee Brewers Advantage / Context
2026 Season Series Record 2 Wins (33.3%) 4 Wins (66.7%) Brewers +2
2026 Games at Milwaukee (Home) 0 Wins 3 Wins (Undefeated) Brewers 3-0 at Home
2026 Games at Chicago (Wrigley) 2 Wins 1 Win Cubs won Wrigley set 2-1
All-Time Series Record 230 Wins 237 Wins Brewers lead by 7
Head-to-Head Since 2004 140 Wins (3.9 R/G) 159 Wins (4.2 R/G) 299 Total Games Played
Projected Run Differential (3-Game Set) 13 Runs 12 Runs Cubs +1

Sources & Matchup Grounding

Official source: @MLB post: "The Cubs and Brewers begin their final series of the season 😤 What’s in store for this week’s matchup?". Historical head-to-head records verified via StatMuse & mcubed.net: Brewers hold 237 all-time wins to Cubs' 230, and lead the 2026 season series 4-2 (including 3-0 in Milwaukee).