Emirates NBA Cup • West Group Play

Phoenix 8-Pt Final Minute Comeback

PHX
109
FINAL
MIN
108
Tactical Half-Court Clutch Anatomy Play 6 of 6: Game Winner
0:01.8
Court Coord: (X: Baseline 0-50ft, Y: 0-47ft depth) ★ Highlighted: Collin Gillespie Game Winner
Clutch Possessions (Final 58.4s) 8-0 Closing Run
Live Win Probability Swing +98.2% PHX
100% 50% 0%
Closing 60-Second Possession Telemetry & Advanced Metrics Phoenix Suns Efficiency Burst
Clutch Points Erased
8 PTS
Points Allowed
0 PTS
Possessions Executed
3 / 3 (100%)
Defensive Stops
2 STOPS (1 TO)
Clutch Off Rating Pace
266.7 ORtg
Win Probability Jump
1.8% → 100%
Counterfactual Possession Remixer Evaluate Decision Branches & Win Probability Alterations
Toggle alternative outcomes for pivotal clutch possessions to observe how Phoenix's comeback probability shifts under counterfactual reality.
0:54.2 - Booker And-1 Attack Actual (+3 PTS)
0:38.1 - Ryan Dunn On-Ball Steal Actual (Steal)
0:01.8 - Gillespie Step-Back Actual (Game Winner)
Remixed Projected Phoenix Win Probability: 100.0%
Historic Sub-60s 8+ Point Comeback Benchmarks NBA Cup & Regular Season Comps
Game / Context Deficit Erased Time Left Final Closing Run Key Game-Winning Hero Stop Rate
PHX vs MIN (Emirates Cup) 8 PTS 0:58.4 8-0 (100% True Shooting) Collin Gillespie (@Colling1021) 2/2 (100%)
IND vs NYK (East Semis '95) 8 PTS 0:18.7 8-0 (Miller 8 pts in 9s) Reggie Miller 2/2 (100%)
HOU vs SAS (Regular '04) 8 PTS 0:35.0 13-4 (T-Mac 13 in 35s) Tracy McGrady 2/3 (66.7%)
DAL vs LAC (Emirates Cup '23) 7 PTS 0:49.2 9-1 closing push Kyrie Irving 2/2 (100%)
Export Comeback Telemetry Breakdown
Verified tactical report for coaching analysis, broadcast graphics, and research

Saved clutch remix probability arithmetic

Read the explanation

Saved default and-one, steal and made-shot branches apply no penalties, leaving multiplier one and returning one hundred percent. Bars compare initial and final fraction at six hundred pixels per fraction. This is a source-authored scenario score, not empirically certain victory or authenticated match evidence. Booker split multiplies by point eight five and Edwards bucket by point zero five. Combined point zero four two five returns four point two five percent if final-shot branch is unchanged. Bars share zero at six hundred pixels per fraction and compare before and after second penalty. Independence is assumed by source, not established from game data. Choosing final-shot miss sets modeled probability zero regardless of preceding multiplier. Bars share zero at six hundred pixels per fraction and compare default one and forced zero. A kick-out branch instead multiplies by point four five. Complete raw play/remix export and remix reset/native resize preserved; probability validity unproved.

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