| Shooting Feat | Player / Setting | Makes | Calculated Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verified Practice Run (Source) | Stephen Curry (Rhythm Gym) | 82 | 1 in 85 runs (~1.18%) |
| Curry Practice Record (Dec 2020) | Stephen Curry (Chase Center Gym) | 105 | 1 in 304 runs (~0.33%) |
| NBA Regular Season In-Game Record | Klay Thompson (vs Bulls, 2018) | 14 | 1 in 142,000 game sequences |
| All-Time Consecutive In-Game Makes | Ty Lawson (10 straight, 2011) | 10 | 1 in 1,840 game sequences |
| 3-Point Contest Consecutive Record | Craig Hodges (1991) | 19 | 1 in 21.6 contest runs |
In contested NBA games, Stephen Curry converts three-pointers at 42.8% (the highest volume-adjusted mark in history). If simulated at game pace, hitting 82 consecutive attempts yields an astronomical odds ratio of (0.428)^82 ≈ 6.7 × 10^-31 (equivalent to 1 in 1.48 nonillion trials).
In a private practice gym with dedicated rebounders and fixed cadence, Curry shoots at an estimated 94.7% across the arc. Because exponential decay softens significantly near 1.0, (0.947)^82 ≈ 0.0118. What would take the entire lifetime of the universe in a contested game happens roughly once in every 85 dedicated practice runs for Curry.
Adjust individual station sliders above to observe how just a 5% drop (to 89%) collapses the streak probability from 1 in 85 down to 1 in 8,700!