Custody Release Probability & Legal Horizon Simulator

Conditional Hazard Rates & Kelly Betting Framework
Polymarket Base: 14.0% (Year-End)
Cumulative Release Probability Curve
Interval Hazard Rate Telemetry
Horizon Window (Days) Cum. Prob Interval Hazard Rate
Horizon Probability Sliders
Legal Procedural Delays
Kelly Criterion & Position Sizing
Market Price ($)
Bankroll ($)
Expected Value +0.00%
Kelly Fraction 0.0%
Position Size $0.00
Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super