Model Assumptions & Risk Drivers
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Security Sub-Sector Presets
78%
Sentiment penalty applied by Wall Street regarding generative AI displacement.
42%
Risk of autonomous LLM code patchers replacing vendor software contracts.
88%
Net revenue retention (NRR) and mission-critical enterprise switching costs.
18.5x
Current observed trading multiple compressed by AI overhang.
28.0x
Historical fair multiple supported by high-margin software fundamentals.
Undervaluation Gap
34.2%
Relative to Fair Value
Discount Rate
11.4%
WACC + Fear Premium
Margin of Safety
High
Buffer vs Disruption
Target Multiple
28.1x
Moat-Adjusted EV/S
Fair Intrinsic Multiple
Fear-Discounted Multiple Curve
Active Market Position
| Factor | Observed Input | Sensitized Multiple | Implied Impact |
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