DeepSeek Hike Terminal

Polymarket Odds
DeepSeek Monthly Delta +$0.00
Migration Probability 0%
Cheaper than GPT-4o? YES
Model Parameters
DeepSeek Price Hike 150%
Monthly Input Tokens (M) 500M
Monthly Output Tokens (M) 100M
Developer Switching Friction Med (50%)
Baseline DeepSeek V3/R1 rates: $0.14/1M input, $0.28/1M output.
GPT-4o: $2.50 / $10.00 | Claude 3.5: $3.00 / $15.00 | Gemini 1.5 Pro: $1.25 / $5.00
DeepSeek New Spend $0 Was $0/mo
GPT-4o Alternative $0 Save $0 vs DS
Claude 3.5 Alternative $0 Save $0 vs DS
Monthly Provider Cost Comparison ($ USD)
Implied Prediction Market Odds (Polymarket Model)
Substantial Dev Migration 0%
Market odds developers switch off DeepSeek to rival APIs.
Competitor Price Parity Hike 0%
Probability OpenAI/Anthropic respond with rate adjustments.
Self-Host Break-Even Pivot 0%
Likelihood heavy users switch to open-weights on vLLM/Ollama.
Canonical Calculation Handoff
Capability Proof Result:
DeepSeek Spend: $0.00
OpenAI Spend: $0.00
Monthly Spend Delta: +$0.00
Migration Probability: 0%
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