Simulating Trajectory @ TTT 2.18s
Pass Window:
OPEN (+0.42 EPA)
TTT:
2.18s
Expected EPA / Play
+0.38
Success Rate
68.4%
Pass Rush Arrival
2.65s
YAC Leverage Grade
A+ (8.2 yds)
Tactical Diagnosis: Quick Mesh vs Cover 3 Sky
Tua’s ultra-quick release (2.18s average) neutralizes the pass rush before deep coverages can transition. Against Cover 3, the underneath mesh routes isolate the hook/curl linebacker, forcing an impossible high-low dilemma. Release under 2.30s delivers a 74% completion probability.
Tua Tagovailoa Sub-2.2s Kinematic Release Profile
NFL Rank: #1 Fastest TTT
Snap to Release
2.18s
League Average is 2.74s (0.56s edge)
Arm Motion Duration
0.31s
Compact rotational hip loading
Blitz Negation %
88.5%
Zero sacks absorbed under 2.2s
Tactical Matchup Studio
Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons Scheme Comparison
DEN Defense
Aggressive
Blitz Rate:38.4% (#4)
Man Coverage %:41.2%
Sack Pressure:2.41s Avg
ATL Defense
Zone Shell
Zone Rate:68.5% (#8)
Cover 3/4 Shell:54.0%
Quick Pass Def:5.8 YPA
Matchup Counterfactual Lab Adjust Variables
35%
6.5 yds
Predicted Completion %
72.8%
Expected YAC / Rec
+6.4 Yds
Strategic Matchup Insights
- • Quick-Release vs Blitz: Denver’s blitz packages leave single-high vacancies. Tua’s sub-2.2s release routinely beats the unblocked edge rusher before arrival.
- • Zone Soft Spots: Atlanta’s Cover 3 Sky alignment opens 7-to-12 yard seams along the hash marks when safety drop is delayed by under-2.0s eyes.
- • RPO Leverage: Quick pop passes to motioning receivers generate high EPA against heavy box fronts.
Current Tactical Configuration Proof
ID: DEN-ATL-TUA-2026Passing Scheme: Quick Mesh & Rail Concept
Coverage Shell: Cover 3 Sky Zone
Time To Throw: 2.18s
Calculated EPA: +0.38