How much does the asymptote move 2029?
Convert VRAM into quantized parameter capacity, then compare the tempting exponential curve with a nonzero floor. Scenario math, not a Fable-equivalence claim.
Run the bundled assumptions through both equations.
capacity = VRAM × 8 ÷ bits
size(t) = floor + (start − floor) × 2^(−t ÷ half-life)
size(t) = floor + (start − floor) × 2^(−t ÷ half-life)
Capacity-
Unbounded fit-
Floor-aware fit-
Floor margin-
The floor-aware curve can delay the crossing or prevent it entirely.