Diplomatic Expulsion & Reciprocity Simulator

SEC-1 Crisis Operations

Preset Incident Blueprint

Initiating State (A)

Target State (B)

Diplomatic Rank Targeted

Diplomats Declared PNG: 2 Diplomats

Departure Grace Period

Stated Diplomatic Justification

Swiss / Neutral Backchannel Active

SEC-2 Tit-For-Tat Dynamics & Embassy Parity

CYCLE: ROUND 1

Escalation Threshold Ladder STAGE 3: TARGETED PNG DISRUPTION

French Embassy in Tehran

Political Section 8/8

Defense & Intelligence 6/6

Consular & Visas 10/10

Cultural / Economic 4/4

Iranian Embassy in Paris

Political Section 8/8

Defense & Intelligence 4/6 (2 PNG)

Consular & Visas 8/8

Cultural / Economic 4/4

Diplomatic Cable & Event Stream

[00:00:00Z] DISRUPTION INITIATED: France announces imminent expulsion of 2 Iranian diplomats under Article 9 VCDR (48h grace period).

[00:00:01Z] MINISTRY NOTIFICATION: Note Verbale transmitted to Iranian Ambassador in Paris requesting departure compliance.

SEC-3 Article 9 Advisory & Fallout

Retaliation Probability 88% Strict Parity Doctrine

Channel Degradation 36 / 100 Moderate Impairment

Visa Processing Delay +18 Days Consular Backlog Spike

Coalition Contagion 24% EU/Allied Alignment

⚖️ Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations (1961)

"Article 9(1): The receiving State may at any time and without having to explain its decision, notify the sending State that the head of the mission or any member of the diplomatic staff of the mission is persona non grata or that any other member of the staff of the mission is not acceptable."

Immunity Forfeiture Rule: If the sending State refuses or fails within a reasonable period (Article 9.2) to recall or terminate functions, the receiving State may refuse to recognize the person concerned as a member of the diplomatic mission, extinguishing diplomatic immunity and enabling deportation.

Unclassified Cable Summary