Diplomatic Levers
Strategic Outcome Trajectory
Current Strategy Profile
Baseline Isolation
Current Stance: Total Isolation Regime
Current policy severely limits diplomatic contacts and central bank access. While maintaining Western moral stance, it has achieved almost zero concessions on female education or counter-terrorism compliance, while worsening acute starvation and driving Taliban economic reliance toward China and regional powers.
Impact & Moral Tradeoff Matrix
Humanitarian Relief
28/100
Baseline Stagnant
Women's Rights Leverage
15/100
Min. Impact
Counter-Terror Leverage
42/100
Moderate Risk
Western Moral Stance
88/100
High Cohesion
Cross-Domain Tension Breakdown
| Domain | Pragmatic Gain | Moral Hazard |
|---|---|---|
| Basic Health & Food Security | Low | Low |
| Female Higher Education | Negligible | High Risk |
| ISKP Counter-Pressure | Moderate | Medium |
| Preventing State Collapse | Low | Severe |