Securities Disclosure & Guidance Variance Analyzer

Forensic Presets

Guidance Parameters

Prior Guidance Midpoint ($M) $630M

Revised Guidance ($M) $540M

Alleged Disclosure Lag (Days) 42 days

Unaffected Share Price ($) $38.50

Post-Disclosure Share Price ($) $31.20

Shares Outstanding (M) 440M

Benchmark Market Move (%) -1.50%

GUIDANCE VARIANCE

-14.29%

Midpoint delta: -$90.0M

GROSS PRICE DECLINE

-18.96%

Per share delta: -$7.30

MKT-ADJUSTED ABNORMAL DROP
-17.46%
Adjusted abnormal loss: -$6.66/sh

EST. AGGREGATE INFLATION

$2,930.4M

Total Market Cap Eroded: $3,212.0M

Guidance Corridor vs Share Price & Artificial Inflation Ribbon Drag timeline to inspect

Forensic Disclosure Lag Ledger

Event Checkpoint	Date / Window	Observed Price / EBIT	Materiality & Obligation Status

Continuous Disclosure Test (ASX LR 3.1 & US SEC 10b-5): Corporate guidance revised down by -14.29%. Under ASX guidance note 8, revisions exceeding ±5% require prompt release once board/exec tracking confirms deviation. Estimated artificial price inflation during the 42-day lag window totals $2,930.4M.