Dodgers Back-to-Back Home Run & Win Probability Simulator

Game Scenario Setup

Inning: 7th Inning

Outs Before Rally: 1 Out

Runners On Base Prior:

Pre-Rally Margin: Tie (0)

Batter 1: Max Muncy (3B/DH)

Exit Velocity: 107.4 mph

Launch Angle: 28.5°

Batter 2: Kyle Tucker (RF)

Exit Velocity: 109.1 mph

Launch Angle: 31.0°

Dodger Stadium Wall: 395 ft / 8 ft Wall

Rally Status: Success: Back-to-Back Bombs

Dodgers Win Expectancy 81.5%

Pre-Rally Baseline: 47.3% Swing Delta: +34.2%

Simulation Observation: In the 7th inning with 1 out and a runner on 1st, Max Muncy launched a 107.4 mph blast (418 ft) followed immediately by Kyle Tucker's 109.1 mph cannon (432 ft) clearing the right-center pavilions. The 3-run barrage flipped a tie ballgame into an 81.5% win expectation.

Situational Analytics MLB Engine

Run Diff Change +3

Win Prob Swing 34.2%

Final Win Prob 81.5%

B2B Slug Prob 14.8%

Statcast Contact Breakdown

Max Muncy 418 FT (HR)

Exit Velo / Launch: 107.4 mph / 28.5°

Wall Clearance: +23 ft over wall

Kyle Tucker 432 FT (HR)

Exit Velo / Launch: 109.1 mph / 31.0°

Wall Clearance: +37 ft over wall