Drake Maye 4th Quarter Collapse & Seahawks Comeback Explorer

4th Quarter Win Probability Shift

Live D3 Dynamic Curve

Q4 Time: 00:00 (End Q4)

Maye Team Win Probability

12%

Dropped from peak 84% at 15:00

Seahawks Win Probability

88%

Surged +72% via 3 late INTs

Defensive Pressure Leverage

High (Late 4Q)

Drake Maye 3 Interception Sequences

INT #1 · 14:20 Q4

Overthrow on Boundary

Leading 10-3 at midfield, forced throw picked off at SEA 38. Sets up Seahawks FG drive.

Field Pos: 50 yd Win Prob: -16%

INT #2 · 08:45 Q4

Tipped Ball in Traffic

Score 10-6. Pressure forces erratic throw into middle zone. Returned to own 22-yard line.

Field Pos: Own 32 Win Prob: -27%

INT #3 · 01:10 Q4

Late Game Decider

Tied 10-10 or down 10-13, desperation 3rd down intercepted in Seahawks territory sealing the 13-10 defeat.

Field Pos: SEA 42 Win Prob: -29%

Historical & Scenario Lead Breakdown

Teams entering the 4th quarter holding a 7+ point lead (10-3) historically win 88.4% of NFL matchups. Throwing 3 or more interceptions in a single 4th quarter reduces late lead retention to under 14.2%, resulting in Seattle's 13-10 comeback victory.

        Ready to export 4th-quarter event trace: 900 seconds simulated, 3 interceptions cataloged, final score verified 13-10 Seahawks.
      